DYNAMIC SCENARIO MODEL FOR THE INTERACTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES

Murray Turoff; Victor A. Bañuls; Linda Plotnick; Starr Roxanne Hiltz.

ISCRAM 2014 Conference Proceedings – 11th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management.

This paper summarizes the development of a Cross Impact and Interpretive Structural Model of the interactions of 16 critical infrastructures during disasters. It is based on the estimates of seven professionals in Emergency Management areas and was conducted as an online survey and Delphi Process. We describe the process used and the current results, indicating some of the disagreements in the estimates. The initial results indicate some very interesting impacts of events on one another, resulting in the clustering of events into mini-scenarios.

Full article: http://idl.iscram.org/files/turoff/2014/1028_Turoff_etal2014.pdf